France vs Spain — Tuesday 14 July, 20:00 UK
How they got here:
France have won all six matches in regular time. Sixteen goals scored, two conceded. They swept through Group I with wins over Senegal, Iraq and Norway, then knocked out Sweden, Paraguay and Morocco in the knockout rounds. The best defensive record in the tournament.
Spain are unbeaten in six. Five wins and one draw — the draw being a 0-0 with Cape Verde Islands in the group stage. Since then they beat Saudi Arabia, Uruguay, Austria, Portugal and Belgium. Only one goal conceded all tournament.
Key talking points:
France’s attack vs Spain’s defence. France have scored 16 goals. Spain have conceded 1. Something has to give.
Mbappe’s form. France’s forward line has been devastating. Spain’s defence has been excellent, but they have not faced a threat this quick.
Midfield battle. Spain’s Rodri and Pedri have controlled games. France will look to bypass the midfield and hit them on the break.
Betting angles:
- France to qualify: The form team. Hard to look past them.
- Both Teams to Score: Both sides have goals in them.
- Kylian Mbappe Anytime Goalscorer: Tournament’s standout player.
- Under 2.5 Goals: Semi-finals tend to be tight.
England vs Argentina — Wednesday 15 July, 20:00 UK
How they got here:
England have won five and drawn one. They beat Croatia and Panama in Group L with a 0-0 draw against Ghana in between, then knocked out Congo DR, Mexico, and Norway in the quarter-finals — the Norway match going to extra time before England won 2-1. They have scored 13 goals and conceded 6.
Argentina have won all six but two went to extra time. Seventeen goals scored — the most in the tournament. They beat Algeria, Austria and Jordan in the group stage, then needed extra time to get past Cape Verde Islands in the round of 32. A 3-2 win over Egypt followed, then another extra-time victory over Switzerland in the quarter-finals. Messi has 8 goals.
Key talking points:
Messi’s final World Cup. Lionel Messi is 39 and still the tournament’s defining player. Eight goals in six matches.
Extra time fatigue. Argentina have played 210 minutes of knockout football, with two of their last three matches going to extra time. England’s only extra-time match was the quarter-final. Recovery could be a factor.
England’s defence. England have been solid but have conceded 6 goals — more than France and Spain combined. Argentina’s attack is a different level to what they have faced so far.
Betting angles:
- Both Teams to Score: Argentina always score. England have goals too.
- Lionel Messi 2+ Shots on Target: Averaging over 3 per game in the knockout stages.
- Harry Kane Anytime Goalscorer: England’s captain and talisman.
- Over 2.5 Goals: Both teams can score and the occasion could produce chances.
World Cup 2026 Outright Winner Odds
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| France | Evens |
| Argentina | 9/4 |
| England | 7/2 |
| Spain | 6/1 |
France are the clear favourites. Argentina are second favourites. England and Spain are the outsiders but both have shown enough to be dangerous.
Summary
Both semi-finals offer contrasting styles. France vs Spain pits the tournament’s best attack against its best defence. England vs Argentina matches two teams who have taken different routes — England grinding through, Argentina winning with firepower.
Check today’s football tips for match-specific bet builders as they are released, or join the free Telegram channel for updates on both semi-finals.
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