Free Football Acca, Wednesday 16 September

prediction and reasoning

Both Teams to Score in AC Milan vs Benfica — Ruben Amorim's Milan are unbeaten but have drawn their last two Serie A games without keeping the door shut, fighting back from two goals down in Rome after Juventus had denied them with a late leveller in Turin. Benfica arrive on a seven-match winning run and plundered 12 goals across four league outings, with Marco Silva's men scoring in every competitive game this season. The Eagles have never beaten Milan in six attempts, so the 1.61 on both teams finding the net is the value call rather than a straight home win.

Olympiacos to Win — Olympiacos dropped into the Europa League after a 2-1 aggregate defeat to NEC Nijmegen and have already won two of four home games this season, with new boss Imanol Alguacil needing a fast response at the Karaiskakis. Jagiellonia reach the league phase for the first time after squeezing past Rangers, but they have lost their last two away matches and have never beaten Greek opposition. Even without the injured Ayoub El Kaabi and suspended Konstantinos Fortounis, the hosts have the deeper squad and the stronger home record at 1.30.

Draw or Rennes and Over 1.5 Goals in Sturm Graz vs Rennes — Rennes are unbeaten this season, taking three wins and a 2-2 draw with Paris Saint-Germain from four Ligue 1 games, and they have scored in every outing, albeit with just one clean sheet to their name. Sturm Graz have lost only one competitive home match in 2026 but are missing Leon Grgic and Emran Soglo through injury, with Seedy Jatta doubtful after coming off early at the weekend. The double chance covers a Graz side that is always competitive on home soil, and Rennes' habit of outscoring opponents makes Over 1.5 the natural companion at 1.40 combined.

Atletico Madrid to Win — Atletico sit fourth on 10 points and responded to defeats against Athletic Bilbao and Liverpool with a 3-0 thrashing of Real Sociedad, all three goals arriving in the closing stages. Osasuna have collected seven points from five matches and travel on the back of a 2-0 loss to Espanyol and a 5-2 hammering at Alaves, with Moi Gomez, Aimar Oroz, Jorge Herrando and Valentin Rosier all unavailable. Diego Simeone's side have won three of the last four meetings, including a 1-0 success in this exact fixture last season, so 1.40 looks a fair price.

Brighton Over 0.5 Team Goals — Brighton sit fourth in the Premier League on seven points from four games and have scored in every match this season. United's derby defeat to 10-man Manchester City leaves them with one win from four league games and without a clean sheet, and Michael Carrick is likely to rotate for a third-round tie that comes before a trip to Fulham. The Seagulls also won 2-1 at Old Trafford in the FA Cup in January, making a single Brighton goal at 1.30 the safest route through this leg.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang Over 0.5 Shots on Target — Aubameyang has been a revelation since joining Deportivo this summer, scoring in all five of their La Liga fixtures, including the late equaliser that earned a 1-1 draw with Getafe at the weekend. The former Barcelona and Arsenal forward is the focal point of the Riazor attack and gets his attempts away regardless of the opponent, and Sevilla have conceded in three of their opening five matches. Backing him for a single shot on target at 1.33 is a low-risk anchor for the acca.

other tips

You can also check today’s football tips for more selections, or visit tomorrow’s football tips for early picks on upcoming fixtures. For safer gambling support, visit GambleAware or GamCare.