Free Football Acca, Saturday 26 September

prediction and reasoning

North Macedonia vs Switzerland — Switzerland — Murat Yakin's Switzerland reached the quarter-finals of the 2026 World Cup and took Argentina to extra time, and they begin this League B campaign as firm favourites. North Macedonia were promoted after a strong cycle but arrive off a 4-0 hammering by Türkiye in June, having earlier lost by the same score to Denmark in the World Cup play-offs and drawn goalless with Ireland and Bosnia-Herzegovina. The hosts are playing above their natural level, while the Swiss core remains intact and hungry to climb straight back into League A. At 1.33 the away win is the low-risk anchor of this slip.

Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan — Faroe Islands or Draw (Double Chance) — Tórsvøllur has quietly become one of the tougher away trips in Europe, and the Faroes arrive having won seven of their last ten matches, including victories over Czechia and Montenegro. They finished third at the Baltic Cup in the summer, losing 1-0 to Estonia before beating Latvia by the same scoreline, while Kazakhstan beat Namibia and Comoros in March before a 1-1 draw with Armenia and a 3-1 loss to Hungary. Home advantage points clearly one way, and the double chance at 1.36 covers the draw in what should be a tight opening fixture.

Iceland vs Estonia — Iceland — Iceland were relegated from League B after collecting just seven points last time and will be desperate to open League C with a home win at Laugardalsvöllur. Estonia survived in League C with only four points from 18, though they have won four of their last five, so this will not simply be handed to the hosts. Elias Rafn Ólafsson's absence means Hákon Valdimarsson is expected in goal, but Iceland have lost only one of seven meetings between the sides and their quality at home should tell. The 1.30 is short, which is why it is the second anchor rather than the headline leg.

Slovakia vs Moldova — Slovakia -1.0 (Handicap Result) — Slovakia have won six of their last ten matches and sit 114 places above Moldova in the FIFA rankings, and they have scored exactly twice in each of their last three outings. Moldova have found the net in seven of their last nine games, so this is unlikely to be a clean sheet, but the gulf in class should still show on the scoreboard. Rather than take the short outright price, asking Slovakia to win by two or more at 1.50 gives a far better return for a result that the statistics comfortably support.

Czechia vs Croatia — Czechia or Draw (Double Chance) — Croatia have never lost to Czechia in six meetings, but the most recent two are instructive: a 5-1 Croatian win in Osijek followed by a goalless draw in Prague in October 2025. Czechia are back in League A and now under Santi Denia, with the Fortuna Arena behind them, while Croatia begin Slaven Bilić's second spell with several senior players in transition after a Round of 32 exit to Portugal. With Spain and England also in Group A3, a home point is precious, and the double chance at 1.72 covers both the draw and the upset.

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