Free Football Acca, Sunday 13 September

prediction and reasoning

Lille to Win — Lille have made a strong start to the new Ligue 1 season with two wins and a draw from their opening three games, sitting fourth on seven points with only two goals conceded. Troyes, back in the top flight as Ligue 2 champions, were thrashed 6-2 at home by Strasbourg last time out and have won only once at Lille in eight competitive meetings. With Hamza Igamane the hosts' only absentee, Lille at 1.42 is a solid anchor leg.

Both Teams to Score in Brest vs PSG — Brest are one of only six unbeaten sides in Ligue 1 and have been among the division's most attack-minded teams, ranking second for big chances created. PSG have been unusually vulnerable, winless in three league games and conceding multiple goals in each of their last four Ligue 1 matches — a first for the club since 2005. With a fired-up home side against a PSG defence leaking goals, both teams to score at 1.80 is the value pick of the acca.

RB Leipzig to Win — Leipzig sit eighth and, despite back-to-back defeats to Werder Bremen and Como, they host bottom-of-the-table Hamburg at the Red Bull Arena. Merlin Polzin's Hamburg have lost both games, sit on zero points with a goal difference of minus seven and were thrashed 5-0 at home by Mainz last time out. Leipzig have won the last four meetings between the sides and their last six Bundesliga home matches, making 1.33 a strong leg.

Over 3.5 Goals in Elversberg vs Bayern Munich — The Bundesliga's surprise package meets the champions. Elversberg have won back-to-back games in their first ever top-flight season, including a remarkable 4-3 comeback win over Borussia Monchengladbach, and both teams have scored in all three of their matches. Bayern have scored at least four goals in nine of their last 16 competitive games, thrashed Bodo/Glimt 5-0 in midweek and are unbeaten in 22 domestic matches, with Harry Kane among the goals. Over 3.5 goals at 1.40 fits both sides' profile.

Juventus to Win — Juventus have taken seven points from their opening three Serie A games and have kept five clean sheets in their last six away league matches, winning four of them. Sassuolo have taken just four points and failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four games, while they have not beaten Juventus in their last three meetings. With the Old Lady building momentum before their European campaign begins, Juventus at 1.66 rounds off the acca.

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