Free Football Acca for Thursday night: four selections from the opening round of the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League at combined odds of 6.06. Germany are backed to avoid defeat in Amsterdam, Norway to edge Denmark in Oslo, goals in Austria vs Israel, and Portugal to win with three or more goals against Wales. Every match kicks off at 19:45 UK time.
prediction and reasoning
Netherlands vs Germany — Draw or Germany (Double Chance) — The marquee tie of the opening night at the Johan Cruijff Arena, and one where the safety of the double chance makes sense. The Netherlands are starting a new cycle under fresh management, while Germany arrive with Jurgen Klopp now in charge and a settled spine to build on. Elite group openers are rarely gung-ho, and with the Dutch still finding their rhythm the visitors avoiding defeat at 1.50 is the sensible way in.
Norway vs Denmark — Norway to win — Norway's golden generation is at its peak and they have the firepower to see off a Denmark side that is still reshaping itself. Erling Haaland and Martin Odegaard give the hosts the two best players on the pitch, and a full Ullevaal Stadium has been a reliable edge for Norway in recent windows. Denmark remain organised, but they lack the same cutting edge, so the 1.75 on a home win is fair value.
Austria vs Israel — Over 2.50 Goals — Ralf Rangnick's Austria are one of the most aggressive pressing teams in Europe and they do not sit on leads. Israel have been generous at the back across recent windows, and a Nations League opener in front of a home crowd should produce chances at both ends. With two attacking-minded sides and little to lose on matchday one, the 1.57 on three goals or more is the value play of the slip.
Portugal vs Wales — Portugal and Over 2.50 Goals — Portugal begin the defence of the Nations League crown they won in 2025, and they do so against a Wales side that earned promotion to League A. The gulf in class in Lisbon is significant, and Portugal's attacking depth makes a comfortable home win the most likely outcome. Combining the victory with three or more goals at 1.47 reflects how one-sided this looks on paper, and it completes a 6.06 acca.
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