Free Football Acca, Sunday 6 September – WON

prediction and reasoning

Arsenal vs Chelsea — Arsenal to Win — Arsenal are the only Premier League side still with a perfect defensive record, winning all three competitive games this season without conceding. Chelsea have been electric going forward — 12 goals in two league games, including that wild 4-3 win over Brighton — but that same game exposed a backline that shipped three. Throw in Arsenal’s 16-game unbeaten run in London derbies and their five-year stranglehold over Chelsea, and the champions at 1.70 look the play.

Angers vs Rennes — Over 2.5 Goals — Rennes are averaging better than two goals a game and arrive off a 3-2 win over Le Mans, while Angers hit three in a 3-1 victory at Auxerre last time out. The hosts have conceded an average of 1.9 goals across their last 10 league games and both teams have scored in six straight Rennes matches. With two attack-minded sides meeting at the Stade Raymond Kopa, over 2.5 goals at 1.61 should be a comfortable middle leg.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg — Over 2.5 Goals — Frankfurt’s games simply refuse to be dull: last week’s 3-3 draw with Union Berlin made it 13 times in their last 23 matches that at least four goals were scored, and they are winless in six Bundesliga outings having scored 10 and conceded 14. Augsburg arrive full of confidence after a 3-0 opening win over Schalke. With two in-form attacks and two questionable defences at Deutsche Bank Park, over 2.5 at 1.44 looks a strong third leg.

Parma vs Monza — Over 1.5 Goals — Both sides are pointless after two Serie A defeats, which makes this an early-season six-pointer at the Tardini. Monza’s games have been goal-heavy — they lost 3-2 to Udinese last time out and have conceded seven in two matches while scoring three — and they average 1.7 goals both for and against across their last 10 league games. Desperation plus two shaky backlines should produce at least two goals here at 1.40.

Valencia vs Barcelona — Barcelona to Win — Barcelona have made a perfect start to their title defence, winning all three league games while rattling in 12 goals — four per game — including last week’s 5-2 demolition of Rayo Vallecano. Raphinha has scored in three straight and contributed to six of those goals. Valencia, by contrast, sit 17th with one point, are six games without a win and lost 3-1 to Deportivo La Coruna last weekend. Barça have won 10 of the last 12 meetings, and with early payout available if they race two goals clear, the 1.25 anchor leg closes the acca nicely.

other tips

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