Free Football Acca, Tuesday 8 September

prediction and reasoning

AEK Athens vs LASK Linz — Over 2.5 Goals — AEK top the Greek Super League and arrive at the Allwyn Arena fresh from a thumping 5-0 win over Aris, having kept clean sheets in each of their recent victories. LASK, making their first appearance in the Champions League proper, come into the game on a three-match winning run of their own — 3-1 against Wolfsberger and 3-0 against Altach among them — so both attacks are in rhythm. With the Austrians inevitably forced to chase the game in front of a partisan Athens crowd, over 2.5 goals at 1.61 in the early kick-off looks a solid opening leg.

Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal — Borussia Dortmund to Win — Dortmund have won three straight, most recently a 3-2 victory over Hoffenheim, and a Champions League night at Signal Iduna Park remains one of the great atmospheres in the sport. Villarreal, by contrast, arrive having lost their last two — a 2-3 reverse at home to Deportivo La Coruna followed by a 1-0 defeat at Alaves — and a trip to the Westfalenstadion is a daunting way to open a European campaign. At 1.75, backing the hosts to win is the strongest outright leg on the slip.

Lille vs Real Betis — Lille or Draw (Double Chance) — Lille are notoriously difficult to beat at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy and come into this one unbeaten in their last two, having taken a point off Paris Saint-Germain before beating Toulouse 1-0. Betis showed their ceiling by beating Real Madrid 1-0 last time out, but that came immediately after a chaotic 2-5 defeat at Levante — form that screams inconsistency. With a hostile French crowd behind them, the double chance at 1.36 keeps the acca alive even if Betis' undeniable quality shows up.

Real Madrid vs Inter Milan — Inter Milan Over 0.5 Team Goals — Inter arrive at the Bernabeu on a five-match winning streak, scoring freely throughout, and are the form side in this heavyweight opener. Real Madrid head into matchday one having failed to score in a 1-0 defeat at Real Betis last time out, and in an occasion of this magnitude Inter's attack will get chances. A side of their quality very rarely leaves the Bernabeu scoreless, so the 1.36 on them netting at least once is one of the safer legs on the board.

FC Porto vs Manchester City — Draw or Man City (Double Chance) — City are heavy favourites at the Estadio do Dragao and arrive in form after back-to-back wins over Crystal Palace and Coventry. But Porto have won five straight themselves — including a 2-1 success over Moreirense last time out — and the Dragao is a hostile European venue where the Portuguese side are always dangerous. With City priced around 1.72 for the outright win, the double chance at 1.18 gives this acca its insurance: a City win or a draw both keep the slip alive.

other tips

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