Free Football Acca, Thursday 10 September

prediction and reasoning

Fenerbahce vs Roma — Both Teams to Score — Fenerbahce are back in the Champions League proper for the first time since 2008-09 after coming through qualifying against Gornik Zabrze, Sturm Graz and Lyon, and Ismail Kartal's star-studded squad — Ederson, Skriniar, Kante, Greenwood, Akturkoglu and Muriqi — will fancy their chances at the Ulker Stadyumu. But Roma arrive in Istanbul in fine fettle under Gian Piero Gasperini, having hammered Fiorentina and Lecce 4-0 either side of a 2-1 win over his former side Atalanta, with Dybala, Soule and Malen all in form. Matteo Guendouzi's suspension weakens Fener in midfield, and The Stats Zone's tip of double chance Roma plus both teams to score backs up the BTTS angle.

PSV vs Shakhtar Donetsk — Over 2.5 Goals — PSV have started the season with four wins and a draw in five, scoring 18 goals, including a 3-1 win at Ajax, and Peter Bosz's forward line of Pepi, Perisic and Van Bommel should get chances at home. Shakhtar reached the league phase through their own qualifying route, are bedding in another crop of Brazilian talent, and are expected to be proactive rather than passive — though they have lost star man Heorhiy Sudakov to Benfica. The Stats Zone go for PSV to win and both teams to score, which points towards goals at both ends.

Como vs RB Leipzig — Both Teams to Score — Cesc Fabregas takes charge of a Champions League game for the first time with Como in fine form: seven points from three Serie A games and back-to-back away wins at Napoli and Genoa, the latter a 4-1 hammering in which Assane Diao scored twice and Nico Paz and Martin Baturina also netted. Leipzig have a win and a defeat under new boss Martin Demichelis, a 3-0 opening win over Borussia Monchengladbach followed by a 3-1 loss at Werder Bremen, and they are missing Christoph Baumgartner and injured summer signing Rocco Reitz. Chances at both ends look likely at the Sinigaglia.

Man Utd vs Sabah — Both Teams to Score — Manchester United return to the Champions League for the first time in three seasons and begin an English-record 26th campaign, but they come in with only four points from three Premier League games and a 2-2 draw with Everton, plus injuries to Matthijs de Ligt, Manuel Ugarte, Carlos Baleba and Amad Diallo. Sabah are the Azerbaijani champions making their league-phase debut after winning through four qualifying rounds — beating TNS, KuPS, Aarhus and Hapoel Be'er Sheva — and have won six of their eight European games this season, with Joy-Lance Mickels (eight goals) and Veljko Simic (seven) both in prolific form. At 2.05, Sabah to score against a patched-up United defence is the value in this one.

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