Sunday's mega acca for 8 November is a ten-leg card at 53.62 and it is a goals card before it is a results card: seven of the ten selections settle on whether the ball goes in the net, and only three need a specific team to win. It runs from 14:00 to 19:45 across the Premier League, Ligue 1, Serie A, LaLiga and the Bundesliga, opening with Liverpool at Crystal Palace and closing with Marseille at Lens. Both teams to score appears four times, over 2.5 goals twice, and Lyon to score once, with the three winner legs carrying the 2-up early payout, which matters on a card this long because those legs can settle long before the final whistle.
prediction and reasoning
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool — Liverpool to win, 2-up early payout (1.48) — The opener and the shortest of the three winner legs. Liverpool away at Palace at 1.48 is the market making them clear favourites without treating it as a formality, and the 2-up clause is what makes it worth taking inside a ten-fold: two goals clear at any point and the leg is done, so a late Palace goal cannot break the card.
Rennes vs Lille — Both teams to score (1.57) — The first of four both-teams-to-score legs and one of the two longest prices on the card. Two sides that both play through midfield rather than sitting deep, and 1.57 is the market pricing a clean sheet as the less likely outcome.
Monza vs Atalanta — Both teams to score (1.46) — Atalanta's away games have goals in them by design, and 1.46 says Monza get at least one of their own. It does not need Atalanta to win, which is the point of the goals legs on a card this long: the result can go either way and the leg still lands.
Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano — Both teams to score (1.57) — The second 1.57 on the card, and the leg with the most daylight between the two sides' intent. Both sides commit numbers forward at home and away respectively, and the price says each scoring beats one side keeping a clean sheet.
Brest vs Lyon — Lyon over 0.5 team goals (1.27) — The shortest price on the slip and the safest single leg: Lyon only have to score once in ninety minutes. It is not a bet on Lyon winning or on the game being open, just on a side with that much attacking quality registering at least one goal. Every long card needs a couple of these and this is the first.
Manchester United vs Aston Villa — Over 2.5 goals (1.54) — The 16:30 slot and the game most likely to be stretched. Two sides who both want the ball forward, and 1.54 for three goals is a price that leans on the game opening up rather than on either defence.
Inter vs Como — Over 2.5 goals (1.56) — Inter at home against a promoted side that has to defend deep, and the price says the three goals come from Inter's share of the chances. Como scoring is not required here, only that the game passes 2.5 in total.
Villarreal vs Getafe — Villarreal to win, 2-up early payout (1.42) — The strongest of the three winner legs at 1.42, and another one carrying the early payout. Villarreal at home against a Getafe side that struggles for goals away is the clearest home winner on the card, and the 2-up terms mean it can settle before the last twenty minutes get awkward.
Hoffenheim vs Schalke — Hoffenheim to win, 2-up early payout (1.48) — The latest of the winner legs at 18:30 and the one the card leans on most, because by then the earlier legs have either landed or killed it. Hoffenheim at home at 1.48 against a Schalke side short of results away is a reasonable spot for a two-goal lead at some stage.
Lens vs Marseille — Both teams to score (1.57) — The closer, and the fourth 1.57 on the slip. A Sunday night Ligue 1 game between two sides with something to play for, and both teams to score at 1.57 rather than a match winner, because the result is genuinely open and the goals are not.
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