Free Football Acca, Friday 9 October

prediction and reasoning

Lens vs Lyon — Draw or Lyon (Double Chance) — Lens are typically strong at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis and the data models make them marginal favourites (about 43% to win), but Lyon arrive with one of Ligue 1's sharpest attacks, led by Ernest Nuamah (10 goals). Recent meetings have been tight and Lyon have scored freely in this fixture — a 4-0 win in May and a 2-2 draw in March — so covering a Lyon win or a draw cashes on two of the three outcomes. Double chance at 1.50.

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen — Both Teams to Score — Dortmund top the Bundesliga and have won their last five (15 scored, 4 conceded), but Werder carry real threat going forward with 11 goals in their last five. The last 10 meetings between these sides average 2.8 goals and both teams scored in five of them, so both teams finding the net at 1.61 looks the sensible angle at Signal Iduna Park.

Braga vs Sporting CP — Both Teams to Score — One of the standout fixtures of Primeira Liga matchday 8. Braga boast a flawless home record, while Sporting are unbeaten domestically but have drawn their last two and will be chasing a statement win to keep pace with leaders Porto. Recent head-to-heads have produced goals galore — 2-2 in March and a 2-4 in November 2024 — so both teams to score at 1.80 appeals.

Avellino vs Sampdoria — Both Teams to Score — A Serie B clash at the Stadio Partenio to round off the acca. Both sides have shown a willingness to attack in the opening weeks and neither defence has looked watertight, leaving a both-teams-to-score angle at 1.80 to complete a four-fold that mixes attacking markets with the safety net of a double chance.

other tips

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