Free Football Acca for Sunday: six selections at combined odds of 7.58. We start in the Premier League, where Brighton are backed to win the M23 derby against Crystal Palace, before Arsenal are asked to win at Nottingham Forest. In Ligue 1, a Draw or Monaco double chance covers the trip to Lorient. Two Bundesliga games follow on the goals front, with over 2.5 in both Bayer Leverkusen versus SC Freiburg and Borussia M'gladbach versus Hoffenheim. A Draw or Como double chance at Fiorentina closes the acca. The first match kicks off at 14:00 UK time.
prediction and reasoning
Brighton vs Crystal Palace — Brighton to Win — The M23 derby at the Amex is usually tight, but Brighton's control of possession and their ability to pin opponents back for long spells gives them the edge. Crystal Palace are at their most dangerous breaking from deep, so the hosts have to be careful in transition, yet over 90 minutes the weight of chances should fall Brighton's way. At 1.48 the home win is a fair price for the side with home advantage and the better command of the ball.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal — Arsenal to Win — Arsenal travel to the City Ground as the stronger squad and will expect to dominate possession against a Forest side that prefers to defend in a compact block and threaten from set pieces. Those are the games Arsenal have learned to manage: patience in the build-up, then quality in the final third once the space opens. Forest can make it uncomfortable, but the away win at 1.55 is the value call.
Lorient vs Monaco — Draw or Monaco (Double Chance) — Monaco are the more talented side and their forward line can hurt Lorient in transition, but the Stade du Moustoir is an awkward away trip and Lorient have a habit of making home games scrappy. Covering the draw alongside the visitors at 1.28 keeps the acca alive through a stalemate while still siding with the better team.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg — Over 2.5 Goals — Two of the more progressive sides in the Bundesliga meet at the BayArena. Leverkusen push bodies forward in numbers and Freiburg are happy to trade chances rather than sit deep, which is a combination that regularly produces open games. Over 2.5 goals at 1.44 looks generous for a fixture with this much attacking intent on both sides.
Borussia M'gladbach vs Hoffenheim — Over 2.5 Goals — Gladbach at Borussia-Park and Hoffenheim away from home both tend to play with the handbrake off. Neither defence is built to shut a game down, and both teams have the pace to punish space in transition. Over 2.5 goals at 1.40 is the natural read on a match where the midfields leave gaps.
Fiorentina vs Como — Draw or Como (Double Chance) — Como have settled quickly as a Serie A side and their possession game travels well enough to make this awkward for a Fiorentina team that can be wasteful in front of goal. The Artemio Franchi is still a difficult venue, so covering the draw alongside the visitors at 1.28 is the sensible way in. It takes the win-or-nothing risk out of a genuinely close fixture.
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