Football treble for Monday 26 October: three selections across the Primeira Liga, Ligue 1 and LaLiga, combined at 6.80. It opens in Portugal with both teams to score as Santa Clara host Benfica, repeats the same bet in Paris as PSG welcome Lyon, and closes with a half-time draw at Sevilla against Osasuna. Two of the three legs are goals markets, and the third settles by half-time.
prediction and reasoning
Santa Clara vs Benfica — Both teams to score (2.10) — The longest price on the treble and the one that drives it. Benfica will score, so this rests on Santa Clara finding the net at home, and they have done that in most of their home matches this season. At 2.10 the market is pricing in a Benfica clean sheet that their away form does not really support.
Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon — Both teams to score (1.58) — Shortest leg on the slip and the safest. PSG score in almost every home game, and Lyon arrive with enough attacking quality to get on the scoresheet themselves. 1.58 is a fair reflection.
Sevilla vs Osasuna — Draw at half time (2.05) — The most adventurous leg, but this fixture has a history of tight, cagey openings between two sides who set up cautiously. Only 45 minutes have to go level for this to land, and it is the earliest leg to settle on the card.
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