Football acca for Wednesday 28 October: five selections across the DFB-Pokal, Serie A and the Carabao Cup, combined at 7.76. It opens in Germany with Freiburg hosting Wolfsburg in the cup, then moves to Italy for Milan against Bologna and Venezia against Inter. The evening finishes in England with two Carabao Cup fourth-round ties: Manchester City at home to Brighton and Liverpool hosting Chelsea. Three legs carry the 2-up early payout; the other two need both teams to score.
prediction and reasoning
Freiburg vs Wolfsburg — Freiburg to win (1.46) — A Pokal tie between two Bundesliga sides, with Freiburg at home. Freiburg's home record is one of the better ones in the league and Wolfsburg have been loose at the back all season. 1.46 with the 2-up early payout is a fair price.
AC Milan vs Bologna — AC Milan to win (1.55) — Milan at home to Bologna is the trickiest read on the card, and the price reflects it. Milan have the stronger squad and Bologna's away record against the top four has been poor. The early payout protects against a late equaliser.
Venezia vs Inter — both teams to score (1.60) — Inter will score; the question is Venezia, who have found a goal in most home games this season. Inter have conceded in each of their last four on the road, so 1.60 is the value on the slip.
Manchester City vs Brighton — Manchester City to win (1.53) — A Carabao Cup fourth-round tie at the Etihad, so rotation is the risk, but City's second string still beats most Premier League first teams, and Brighton will rotate too.
Liverpool vs Chelsea — both teams to score (1.40) — Two rotated sides in a cup tie at Anfield usually means chances at both ends. Both teams scored in the last four head-to-heads, and neither defence has looked settled this month.
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