Monday's acca is a five-fold at 6.24 and it all happens in one evening, from 17:30 to 20:15. It opens in Serie A with Sassuolo against Fiorentina needing both teams to score, then splits into two 19:45 kick-offs: Lorient with the draw covered at home to Brest, and Atalanta at home to Parma. Newcastle against Everton at 20:00 is the second goals leg, and Benfica against Alverca at 20:15 closes it needing a win and three goals in the game. Two goals legs, one double chance, and two result bets.
prediction and reasoning
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina — both teams to score, yes (1.44) — The opener and the first leg to settle. Two sides who both commit forward and neither of whom defends convincingly; at 1.44 it is the second-shortest price on the card.
Lorient vs Brest — double chance, Lorient or draw (1.42) — A Brittany derby where the outright market is close to a coin flip. Taking Lorient and the draw at home buys two results out of three, which is the sensible way into a fixture like this.
Atalanta vs Parma — Atalanta to win (1.40) — Atalanta at home at 1.40 with the 2-up early payout attached. Go two clear at any point and the leg is settled, so a fast start removes the risk of a late Parma goal.
Newcastle United vs Everton — both teams to score, yes (1.59) — The longest price on the slip at 1.59, and the leg carrying the most risk. Newcastle score freely at home; the question is whether Everton contribute, which is what makes this the biggest number on the card.
Benfica vs Alverca — Benfica to win and over 2.5 goals (1.37) — One combined market to finish: Benfica winning a game with three or more goals in it, at home against a promoted side. It settles last at 20:15 and it is the shortest of the result legs.
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