Football Acca, Saturday 24 October

prediction and reasoning

Como vs Sassuolo — Como to win (1.38) — Como at home have been the more settled side and Sassuolo arrive among the weaker teams in the division. With the 2-up early payout, a two-goal lead settles the leg early.

Mainz vs Werder Bremen — Werder Bremen over 0.5 goals (1.30) — Werder have scored in almost every away game this season and Mainz concede chances at home. One Werder goal is a low bar at 1.30.

RB Leipzig vs Elversberg — RB Leipzig to win (1.32) — The biggest mismatch of the afternoon. Elversberg are newly promoted and Leipzig at home should have too much pace, with early payout covering a comfortable win.

Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt — Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals (1.33) — Dortmund have scored two or more in the majority of their home games and Frankfurt travel to attack. Two Dortmund goals is the sensible line at 1.33.

Valencia vs Villarreal — Villarreal or draw (double chance) (1.33) — Villarreal are the better side and the double chance removes the draw risk entirely. Valencia have won only a handful at home this season.

Lens vs Paris FC — Paris FC over 0.5 goals (1.22) — Paris FC have found the net consistently away from home and Lens concede chances. One goal is the minimum expected, which is why this sits at 1.22.

Lazio vs Parma — over 1.5 goals (1.28) — Both sides commit numbers forward and Parma concede regularly on the road. Two goals in the Saturday night game is a fair line at 1.28.

other tips

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