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Football Treble, Wednesday 4 November

Wednesday's treble is another Champions League night at 9.21, and for the third evening running it is three away sides. Manchester City go to RB Leipzig at 1.47, Napoli travel to Porto at 3.52 and Como visit Lens at 1.78, with all three in the match winner market and all three carrying 2-up early payout. The short leg is City, the price is Napoli, and the awkward one is Como.

selections
🏆 Champions League
Wed 4 Nov 20:00
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City
Manchester City to Win (2-Up Early Payout)
1.47
🏆 Champions League
Wed 4 Nov 20:00
FC Porto vs Napoli
Napoli to Win (2-Up Early Payout)
3.52
🏆 Champions League
Wed 4 Nov 20:00
Lens vs Como
Como to Win (2-Up Early Payout)
1.78

prediction and reasoning

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City — City to win (1.47) — The anchor at the shortest price on the slip. City away in Europe at 1.47 is priced on quality rather than venue, and Leipzig at home are exactly the sort of side who can make that look generous. The early payout is the cushion: two goals clear and the leg is settled.
FC Porto vs Napoli — Napoli to win (3.52) — The leg that pays for the treble. Napoli at 3.52 away to Porto is the market's view of a tight tie, and the bet is that the price overstates Porto's home advantage. This is the selection the whole card lives or dies on, and the same 2-up payout applies if Napoli get away early.
Lens vs Como — Como to win (1.78) — The one that looks straightforward and probably is not. Como at 1.78 away in France is a fair price for the better side, but a single goal either way decides it, so the early payout matters less here than in the other two legs.

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other tips

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