Free Football Acca, Friday 2 October

prediction and reasoning

Belgium vs Türkiye — Belgium to Win — Belgium beat Italy 2-0 in their Nations League opener before a late Michael Olise goal condemned Mark van Bommel's side to a 1-0 home defeat to France, just their second loss in 21 matches (W13, D6). The Red Devils have kept clean sheets in four of their last five home games and are unbeaten in three home meetings with Türkiye. Vincenzo Montella's visitors have lost both Nations League games on home soil, 1-0 to France and 4-1 to Italy, and have now lost four of their last five, with five of their previous six defeats coming to nil. Belgium at 1.55 is the value.

Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Sweden — Both Teams to Score — Bosnia-Herzegovina have taken four points from two games, a goalless draw in Poland followed by a 4-2 win in Romania, and have lost just two of their last 14 matches under Sergej Barbarez. Haris Tabakovic scored again in Bucharest and Esmir Bajraktarevic set up two goals, so the hosts carry a genuine threat in Zenica. Sweden have won both fixtures, 2-1 over Romania and 3-1 against Poland, with Viktor Gyokeres scoring in each, yet Graham Potter's side are still without a clean sheet in any of his 12 matches in charge. Both teams to score at 1.53.

Hungary vs Georgia — Hungary or Draw — Both sides are still searching for a first win and first goal of the campaign, each taking one point from two League B Group 2 games. Hungary lost 1-0 to Ukraine in Budapest before a goalless draw with Northern Ireland, but Marco Rossi's men have lost only once in their last five home matches and won both previous home meetings with Georgia. Georgia are winless in six competitive games (D1, L5) and have lost 10 of their last 12 on the road, failing to score before half-time in each of their last seven Nations League group fixtures. Hungary or draw at 1.33.

Poland vs Romania — Poland to Win — Poland have collected just one point, a goalless home draw with Bosnia-Herzegovina followed by a 3-1 defeat in Sweden, and Jan Urban is under pressure with only five wins from 12 matches. Yet this is a golden chance to respond: Romania have lost both fixtures, conceding five first-half goals across a 2-1 reverse in Sweden and a 4-2 home loss to Bosnia, and have won only two of their last eight while keeping no clean sheet in that run. Robert Lewandowski is expected to return to the XI, and victory would leave Romania four points adrift. Poland at 1.61.

Ukraine vs Northern Ireland — Ukraine or Draw — These two share identical records: four points, one goal scored and none conceded. Ukraine beat Hungary 1-0 and drew 0-0 with Georgia, and Andrea Maldera's side are unbeaten in four and are yet to concede since he took charge. Northern Ireland won 1-0 in Georgia before a goalless draw with Hungary, but they must travel almost 1,500 miles to Trnava, where Ukraine play their home fixtures. With both sides built on solid defence and Ukraine sitting top of the group, the draw-or-Ukraine double chance at 1.22 is the sensible way to close the acca.

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