Free Football Acca, Monday 5 October – WON

prediction and reasoning

France vs Belgium — France to Win — France are unbeaten under Zinedine Zidane and beat Belgium 1-0 in Brussels in September, Michael Olise scoring an 88th-minute winner. Although Les Bleus were held 1-1 by Italy on Friday, they had won four straight competitive games at the Stade de France before that and have now won the last six meetings between the sides. Belgium beat Türkiye 3-0 in Liege but were out-shot 23-17 and remain vulnerable at the back. Home advantage and a clear edge in the head-to-head make France the pick. France at 1.48.

Italy vs Türkiye — Italy to Win — Italy thrashed Türkiye 4-1 in Bursa eight days ago and then held France to a 1-1 draw in Paris, where Gianluigi Donnarumma made seven saves. Roberto Mancini's side sit third in Group 1 and need maximum points in Bologna. Türkiye are rock bottom without a point, have lost five of their last six games, and were beaten 3-0 in Belgium on Friday. Italy have won three of the last four meetings and should have too much for a side low on confidence. Italy at 1.38.

Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Poland — Bosnia-Herzegovina or Draw — Bosnia are unbeaten in Group B4 with five points, having drawn 0-0 in Poland, won 4-2 in Romania and drawn 1-1 with leaders Sweden, and they have lost just one of their last eight home games. Poland hammered 10-man Romania 6-0 in Warsaw but that was their first win in six, and they have won only two of their last eight on the road, both against minnows Malta and Lithuania. With the reverse fixture finishing level and Poland unbeaten in six against Bosnia, the draw is a live outcome, so the double chance is the safer play. Bosnia-Herzegovina or Draw at 1.53.

Northern Ireland vs Georgia — Northern Ireland or Draw — Northern Ireland top Group B2 on seven points after a 1-0 win in Georgia, a 0-0 draw with Hungary and a 3-0 victory in Ukraine. Michael O'Neill's side have lost just once at Windsor Park since October 2023, winning nine and keeping 10 clean sheets, and they beat Monday's opponents away from home last month. Georgia have taken a single point from three games and are rebuilding under new coach Ramaz Svanadze after Willy Sagnol was sacked. The hosts should not lose, and the draw covers the stalemate. Northern Ireland or Draw at 1.30.

Romania vs Sweden — Sweden to Win — Sweden lead Group B4 with seven points from nine after a 1-1 draw in Bosnia, and they have won the last three meetings between the sides, including a 2-1 success in the reverse fixture. Romania have lost all three group games and conceded 12 goals, including a humiliating 6-0 defeat by Poland on Friday, and are without suspended defenders Radu Dragusin and Virgil Ghita. Sweden are missing Alexander Isak and Emil Holm, but their organisation and superior form should still see them past a Romania side in free fall. Sweden at 1.61.

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