Free Football Acca, Thursday 1 October

prediction and reasoning

Denmark vs Portugal — Both Teams to Score — Denmark bounced back from their 3-2 defeat in Norway with a commanding 2-0 win over Wales at Parken, with Gustav Isaksen, Mikkel Damsgaard and Rasmus Højlund all carrying a genuine goal threat. Portugal have won both group games, edging Wales 1-0 and then beating Norway 2-1 in Oslo, and João Félix has scored in each of his last two outings alongside Cristiano Ronaldo in a front line that rarely draws a blank. Two attack-minded sides, a lively Parken crowd and both teams having scored in their recent matches make both teams to score the value angle at 1.53.

Greece vs Netherlands — Both Teams to Score — Greece have made a superb start, beating Serbia and then Germany 1-0, but both of those wins still saw the opposition create chances and the Greeks have scored in each of their group games. The Netherlands have scored in every match and have seen both teams find the net in each of their last seven outings, with Cody Gakpo's withdrawal replaced by Ruben van Bommel adding fresh legs in attack. Xavi's side drew 1-1 with Germany and beat Serbia 2-1, conceding in both, so a Greek goal in Thessaloniki looks likely. Both teams to score at 1.53.

Wales vs Norway — Norway to Win — Norway have been the more convincing of these two in League A Group 4, beating Denmark 3-2 before a narrow 2-1 loss to Portugal, and Erling Haaland arrives off another goal for his country, now 65 in 57 caps. Martin Ødegaard is expected to return and Oscar Bobb should start, giving Stale Solbakken real attacking quality. Wales are bottom on zero points after 1-0 and 2-0 defeats, and Craig Bellamy is missing Harry Wilson, Joe Rodon, Nathan Broadhead and several others through injury. The visitors look the clear pick at 1.42.

Israel vs Kosovo — Draw or Kosovo — Israel have endured a miserable campaign, losing 3-1 to Austria in Linz before being swept aside 3-0 by Ireland, conceding three in both games and dropping to 76th in the world rankings. Kosovo beat Ireland in their opener before a rare 3-1 loss in Vienna, and the usually reliable Vedat Muriqi leads the line with 19 Nations League goal involvements — only Haaland has more. Played in neutral Debrecen, this is a real chance for Franco Foda's men, and the draw-or-Kosovo double chance at 1.40 covers a tight contest.

Rep of Ireland vs Austria — Draw or Austria — Austria sit top of Group 3 having won both matches 3-1, and Ralf Rangnick's side have not lost since their World Cup knockout exit to Spain in the summer, with Konrad Laimer returning to strengthen the midfield. Ireland are improving and thumped Israel 3-0, but they were beaten by Kosovo in their opener and are missing Evan Ferguson, Mikey Johnston, Josh Cullen and captain Nathan Collins. Austria have won six and drawn three of the last ten meetings, so backing them not to lose at the Aviva at 1.28 is the sensible way to close the acca.

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