Lens vs Nice brings a Coupe de France final with a clear form gap, but still enough attacking threat on both sides to make it interesting. Lens arrive as the stronger side after a big finish to the league season, while Nice have struggled badly but still carry enough danger to make this more than a one-way final.
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Lens finished as Ligue 1 runners-up with 70 points, scored 66 league goals and ended the campaign with a 4-0 win over Lyon, so their level looks miles stronger coming into this final. Nice finished 16th with only 32 points and still have a relegation play-off hanging over them, which makes Lens the side with the clearer momentum.
Lens have seen both teams score in six of their last 10 matches, and their own attacking numbers are strong enough to drag the game open. Nice have had a poor season overall, but in a cup final they only need one big moment, especially if Lens push forward and leave spaces behind.
Lens corners look very achievable if they play with the control expected. They have cleared the higher 5.5 corner line in each of their last seven matches and averaged 7.6 corners across their last 10 games. Nice have also conceded 6.2 corners on average across their last five, so Lens reaching at least five corners fits the way this final should flow.
Florian Thauvin is the player threat. He has delivered seven goal contributions in his last eight appearances, with four goals and three assists, and he also scored in the 4-0 win over Lyon. If Lens create the stronger chances as expected, Thauvin should get at least one clear look at goal.
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