Mega Acca, Saturday 5 September

prediction and reasoning

Brentford vs Sunderland — Brentford Over 1.5 Team Goals — Brentford opened the season with a statement 3-0 home win over Tottenham and followed it with a creditable 1-1 draw at Leeds, scoring in both games. Sunderland have settled into a pragmatic shape since coming up, but shipped two at Ipswich on the opening weekend and will sit deep at the Gtech. With Brentford's home output already proven this term, over 1.5 Bees goals at 1.66 looks a safe anchor.

Brighton vs Leeds — Both Teams to Score — Brighton's games have been full of goals at both ends: they thumped Aston Villa 4-0 at home before a wild 4-3 defeat at Chelsea in which they scored three. Leeds have found the net in both outings so far — a 1-0 win at Nottingham Forest and a 1-1 draw with Brentford — and carry genuine threat on the counter. Two in-form attacks makes both teams to score at 1.70 the play.

Fulham vs Crystal Palace — Both Teams to Score — Fulham scored twice in an entertaining 2-3 home defeat to Chelsea on the opening weekend, and will back themselves to get on the scoresheet again at Craven Cottage. Crystal Palace have had a brutal start — 0-2 at Everton and 1-4 at home to Manchester City — but did score against City and need a response. With Palace's defence shipping six in two and Fulham dangerous at home, BTTS at 1.66 holds plenty of appeal.

Lens vs Lorient — Lens to Win — Lens kicked off with a thumping 5-2 home win over Auxerre, showing real firepower at the Stade Bollaert, and were unlucky to come away empty-handed at Strasbourg. Lorient are winless with a single point, managing just one goal in their two games and losing at home to Troyes last time out. Backing Lens at 1.42 in front of their own fans is a comfortable way into the acca.

Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig — Over 2.5 Goals — Werder were on the wrong end of a 4-1 scoreline at Freiburg on the opening weekend, a game that produced five goals, and will need to push forward at home. Leipzig looked sharp in a 3-0 win over Borussia M'gladbach and carry one of the Bundesliga's most dangerous attacks. With Bremen forced to open up, over 2.5 at 1.50 should land.

Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund — Over 2.5 Goals — Hoffenheim started with a 3-2 defeat at Cologne in which both sides created plenty and the hosts conceded three. Dortmund eased to a 2-0 home win over Hamburg but will face a far more open contest at the PreZero Arena, where Hoffenheim's games have a habit of producing goals. At 1.44, over 2.5 looks a solid middle leg.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin — Bayer Leverkusen to Win — Leverkusen suffered a shock 3-2 defeat at promoted Elversberg on the opening weekend and will be desperate to respond at the BayArena. Union Berlin arrive having conceded three in their 3-3 draw with Eintracht Frankfurt, and their defensive issues play into Leverkusen's hands. At 1.44 the home win — with early payout on offer if Xabi Alonso's side race two clear — is the value.

Borussia M'gladbach vs Elversberg — Over 2.5 Goals — Gladbach were beaten 3-0 at Leipzig on the opening weekend and need a reaction in front of their own fans. Elversberg, though, arrive full of confidence after stunning Leverkusen 3-2 in their top-flight debut, and they carry a clear goal threat. Two sides who will both commit men forward points to over 2.5 goals at 1.57.

Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander — Over 9.0 Corners — Rayo remain winless after tough trips to Sevilla and Barcelona, but at Vallecas they dominate territory and territory usually means corners. Racing Santander are settling into life back in the top flight with a deep, compact block, which should invite sustained Rayo pressure down the flanks. Over 9.0 match corners at 1.57 is a strong way to round off the acca.

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